May 2020: AMZN $2315 – $2320 Bull Call Spread
Stock
AMZN
Trade Structure
$2315 - $2320 Bull Call Spread
Trade Date
05/01/2020
Price Paid
$233
Expiration Days
06/05/2020
THIS IS A DELAYED TRADE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
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Trade Rationale
May 2020: AMZN $2315 - $2320 Bull Call Spread. This is a post earnings trade. Although, AMZN has done really well during the pandemic due to increased online shopping demand and actually beat Wall Street's revenue estimates, Jeff Bezos announced that they will use their entire profits of $4 Billion from this quarter on Coronavirus response. This caused it to drop from a high of $2475 a few days ago all the way down to $2285. In my opinion, the 8% drop we saw on Friday is an exaggerated response from Wall Street and this definitely caught my mean reversion radar. With earnings trades, my regular mean reversion indicators don't apply, so you have to use some judgement. You will notice that I did not use my indicators to put on this trade. Also, notice that we had a big down day where DOW dropped 622 points taking AMZN down all the way to $2285, so we got in a little prematurely, but we have 35 days for this to play out. If AMZN expires above $2320 in 35 days, we will almost double our money (target profit = $228)
Trade Selection Criteria
Overall market movement
We are experiencing unprecedented volatility in the markets due to the ongoing Coronavirus scare. We put on this trade when DOW dropped 622 points on Friday.
No Earnings or Significant News
Earnings were just announced on 4/30 and are behind us
Bollinger Bands outside Keltner Channels
N/A – For post earnings trade my regular indicators don’t apply.
RSI Analysis
N/A – For post earnings trade my regular indicators don’t apply.
ADX Analysis
N/A – For post earnings trade my regular indicators don’t apply.
Trade Analysis
This trade worked out picture perfect and gave us a ROI of 109% in 31 days.
Trade Outcome
WINNER
Profit/Loss
$254
Beginning Account Balance
$3,200
Ending Account Balance
$4200



Hey…AMZN earnings came in at $5.01, as opposed to the $6.36 forecast by analysts, so I’m not sure how that can be said to have beaten wall street’s estimates. I guess that’s why AMZN had a near $200 tumble the following day.