Sep 2021: MSTR $645 – $650 Bull Call Spread
Stock
MSTR
Trade Structure
$645-$650 Call Spread
Trade Date
9/9/2021
Price Paid
$250
Expiration Days
10/08/2021
THIS IS A DELAYED TRADE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
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Trade Rationale
MSTR as a company is looking solid. It has a better 1 year return than Wells Fargo, Facebook, Disney and Amazon. The stock is also not for the faint-hearted as it is a huge mover and can go up or down $30 - $50 in a single day on literally no news. I entered this trade after seeing it stabilize after the recent sell-off. RSI and DI- were both pointing towards a mean-reversion trade. But MSTR is heavily dependent on Bitcoin’s price movement as they are a huge investor in Bitcoin (They hold $3 Billion worth of Bitcoin). Watch Bitcoin in the coming week as the performance of this trade will be closely correlated to it.
Trade Selection Criteria
Overall market movement
Markets have been pulling back generating some trading opportunities
No Earnings or Significant News
Earnings were announced on 7/29 and are behind us
Bollinger Bands outside Keltner Channels
Bollinger bands are slightly outside Keltner Channels, but MSTR has a huge trading range so this is irrelevant.
RSI Analysis
RSI is turning up after the recent sell off
ADX Analysis
DI- is turning down.
Trade Analysis
Such an interesting trade. MSTR is a high ATR stock and certainly not for the faint hearted. The stock can move $35- $50 in 1 day on literally no news. MSTR went against me initially and fell down to $545 in a matter of a few days. MSTR is also heavily dependent on Bitcoin, so the recent rally in Bitcoin helped MSTR bounce back from the dead and I was able to close it for my full profit target today.
Don't be confused by the huge jump in the account balance. September dragged my account down by 11% at its worst, but I have almost recovered from the sell off already.
Trade Outcome
WINNER
Profit/Loss
$235
Beginning Account Balance
$16,300
Ending Account Balance
$17,100